247 Comments
- ScottMcIntyre, on 08/22/2008, -5/+133Well, the way humans are behaving just now, that wouldn't be difficult...
- muxaulo, on 08/22/2008, -3/+87So if we are going to be less intelligent than our robot overlords of the future; can we at least ensure that Microsoft gets the monopoly to program them, thereby introducing inherent errors that will enable us to defeat them.
- Swil, on 08/22/2008, -5/+69I for one welcome the usual end of this sentence not appearing in the comments for this article.
- Rudegar, on 08/22/2008, -1/+54but can they run Crysis?
- DeFex, on 08/22/2008, -2/+44or apple can make them and they will die 1 second after the warranty expires.
- 8347, on 08/22/2008, -2/+34It's so easy to make predictions for 40 years into the future. Nobody remembers if you are wrong but you sound intelligent for saying it.
- dafragsta, on 08/22/2008, -1/+23Is there a problem with ***** sexy robots?
- elhaf, on 08/22/2008, -4/+26I'll believe it when robots become more intelligent than dung beetles within five years. Not going to happen.
- relic180, on 08/22/2008, -2/+22Or emotionally retarded idiocy.
- Dotcommer, on 08/22/2008, -2/+21If apple made them, they'd be too sexy and we'd be ***** them.
- joebaloney, on 08/22/2008, -1/+20I got higher SAT scores than God, so I guess its possible.
- jeffkee, on 08/22/2008, -0/+18but what if the robots make Service Pack 2 for themselves?
* smirks - jj101, on 08/22/2008, -1/+17The humans are dead. I poked one. It was dead.
- hamburgers, on 08/22/2008, -0/+14science is ***** cool.
- inactive, on 08/22/2008, -0/+14Robot Song from Flight of the Conchords.
"Binary solo!
0000001
00000011
0000001..." - joebaloney, on 08/22/2008, -1/+15Don't worry. People can't predict the state of technology 5 years from now, much less 50. Go back and look at predictions from 20 years ago or more, mostly they are way off in ways they probably wouldn't have thought.
Look at the 1960s Star Trek episodes. Computers of the future will be made of big buttons, switches and radar scopes. - jlpete9, on 08/22/2008, -6/+19Its all about the definition of intelligence though. They're a long way away from any measure of emotional intelligence.
- TheMoniker, on 08/22/2008, -1/+14We used poisonous gases, and we poisoned their asses.
- relic180, on 08/22/2008, -3/+16If you take into account the rate at which people are getting stupider, you could probably cut that number back to about 15 years.
Seriously though, in "just over 40 years" machines will have EQUAL reasoning power to humans, Intel claims. Which implies that they will be "stupider" in general up to that point. To enslave us, they would either need superior reasoning powers or come from a position of advantage. With as much paranoia as there is surrounding this idea, at the moment they are able to match our brain power they will have to figure out how to deal with the hundreds of explosives installed in their brains... by us.
Also, machines might be WAY cooler than we are, and thus deserve to be in charge. - idioteque1025, on 08/22/2008, -2/+12the robots will be just as smart, but in 40 years humans will get exponentially dumber
- protogenxl, on 08/22/2008, -1/+10Wasn't this prediction made 40 years ago?
- ieee, on 08/22/2008, -7/+16Taking into account Americans who voted for Bush and who will vote for McCain the prediction is 5 years in the US
- Paulish, on 08/22/2008, -0/+9Oh Hai. Dis is Nostradamus.
- monoa, on 08/22/2008, -0/+9T1000: "You are terminate... [BSOD]"
- Frost9999, on 08/22/2008, -0/+8@Chainheart2: You are just a chemical machine. Emotions are not ascribed a value just because they come from a human or another machine.
- mark076h, on 08/22/2008, -3/+11I am reading a book about stuff like this right now called The Singularity Is Near, its also being made into a movie, really fascinating and crazy stuff http://www.amazon.com/Singularity-Near-Humans-Tran ... according to this guy by 2050 computers will make biological humans obsolete and we are going to offload our minds onto computer among other things, we will soon create a computer and robots so powerful it will be the last thing biological humans ever create. and from there advanced AI and computers more powerful than every human will take over and use automated engineering to continue to improve themselves.
- Frost9999, on 08/22/2008, -0/+8Emotions won't matter a tiny bit to something that is a million times more intelligent than us.
- AndrewMoyer, on 08/22/2008, -1/+9With that much more "brain power" they should be able to simulate (and coldly ignore) emotions. Emotions, like all thought, are just chemical reactions.
- MrM4nager, on 08/22/2008, -0/+8Can a human really program a machine to be smarter than its creator?
- quandrum, on 08/22/2008, -0/+8Ray Kurzweil predicted within a year when a chess machine would be a human 13 years prior to the event.
You just have to listen to the right people to get good predictions. This article in particular is a no-brainer because hardware capabilities are exponential and we already have software that learns, and is only limited by it's hardware. - benologist, on 08/22/2008, -0/+7Really the only surprising part is they need 40 more years to overtake us.
- bratterscain, on 08/22/2008, -0/+7We're not talking one single human, but a network of humans combined to come up with this technology. Once we create one, we could easily create duplicates. And unlike humans, robots could communicate at light speed through networks which would significantly ramp their knowledge and understanding of us and the world. Then all hell breaks loose and maybe if they're nice to us, we'll live.
I think it will come upon us fluidly and we'll have people saying they're getting almost too smart. Most may not be concerned. We'll go farther and farther. Then some rogue programmer/s creates a robot and perhaps it could duplicate itself easily like a virus, then all hell breaks loose.
Robots, they make all hell break loose.
But one has to wonder what our existence is for. We build things in our likeness and to help us. What if what we build starts to advance and make it's own and starts to become far from us but built from our minds? I guess that's evolution as well. We're all built from creatures which perhaps then would not rather have us happen because we've trumped them and are farther removed from them. That's life. It's temporary. We won't be forever. Have fun while it lasts. - TheMoniker, on 08/22/2008, -0/+7Kurzweil is an interesting fellow, no doubt. Though, looking back on those paleofuturist promises of what the year 2000 would hold from back in the 50s, I'm a little skeptical about pronouncements about the future. (To say nothing of my disappoint at the lack of rocket boots, robot wives and hover cars.)
But still, general trends are easier to predict than individual technologies, and he has a damn good track record. Hey, I hope he's right. I wouldn't mind another 1000 years of life. - hillkiwi, on 08/22/2008, -1/+8Of course, you just need to give it the ability to learn.
- inactive, on 08/22/2008, -0/+6Why, thank you, Kurzweil.
- Slick37c, on 08/22/2008, -0/+6"Other little gems spoken about were morphing computers that could change shape depending on the user's needs."
More than meets the eye? - zombiedepot, on 08/22/2008, -0/+6Star Trek is an accurate portrayal of science.
- dericko, on 08/22/2008, -0/+6Not exactly..
Our brains are organic and utilize chemical and energy tools to do what it does... far far far different than a "computer".
Our brains have also shown the capability to adapt to damage and offload certain functions to a different portion of the brain. If your computers RAM goes out, you've got no function. at. all. - mark076h, on 08/22/2008, -1/+7We will at some point develop a computer and robots so powerfull it will be the last that biological humans ever create, from that point on advanced AI will use automated engineering to continue to improve themselves.
The Singularity Is Near. - theOster, on 08/22/2008, -1/+7seriously. emotional intelligence is an oxymoron
- inactive, on 08/22/2008, -2/+8Actually, fact is it's not the Robots who will grow smarter. It's the humans who are growing dumber by the day, so within 40 years, humans will be dumber than any robot out there. Current robots are smart enough to know that they don't need to do anything but sit and watch the humans grow dumber. That's what they're doing right now.
- Acglaphotis, on 08/22/2008, -0/+6Any sufficiently advanced AI is sufficiently equipped to mimic the chemical reactions in an organic brain. But I doubt they'd want to, what would be the point?
- w00master, on 08/22/2008, -1/+6Yeah, because McSAME is SOOOOO brilliant. Please, get your head out of your ass. McSAME is just as bad (or worse) than Bush and his cronies. Then again, you're probably part of that 18%.
- mark076h, on 08/22/2008, -1/+6According to the laws of accelerating returns we will have that Knowledge in the next 30 years.
The Singularity Is Near. - djgargamel, on 08/22/2008, -0/+5Which humans?
- etx313, on 08/22/2008, -1/+610001110101!
- cgibbo, on 08/22/2008, -0/+5Dayum robots! You is smart!
- GliTCH82, on 08/23/2008, -0/+5"Lightbulbs to laptops
Intel also demoed the ability to power a 60W lightbulb without wires, which it claims could be used to wirelessly power items like laptops safely and quickly.
The system would work by transmitting the electricity over certain frequencies, by using strongly coupled resonators.
However, this technology has been mooted for nearly a century thanks to Niklas Tesla, so it will remain to be seen whether Intel finally crack it."
It's Nikola Tesla, if you'd had any decency at least you'd get his name right! Damn you Edison!! - BIGRed1022, on 08/22/2008, -1/+6If they get out of hand we can just blend them. And hey! 40 years? That's cool cause isn't the world supposed to end in 4?
- Sloi, on 08/22/2008, -1/+6Dugg for The Singularity is Near references in the comments...
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