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Aftershocks from Slow Faults May Arrive Centuries Later

arstechnica.com — Models and data suggest that mid-continent earthquakes may well have been aftershocks from earthquakes that occurred more than 100 years earlier. have a deep and rather personal interest in earthquake and volcano prediction. This comes from spending most of my youth within a few kilometers of an active fault line and less than 100km.....

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  • Disgod, on 11/07/2009, -0/+4Wow this sort of research is amazing and just shows how in depth scientific research can and has gotten to, but highlights how muc more we need to learn. There are scientists now studying specific types of rare geologic regions in depth, but to get to a point where we can make good predictions of the region, they would need to probably bore tens of thousands of core samples. It is intimidating that we know that we have so much more to learn, but the fact that we're actually reaching a point, where we are able to start quantifying our ignorance so we can efficiently work to fill in the holes in our understanding, is astounding. It may never be perfectly accurate, but even predictions of within a few months of earthquakes or volcanoes or of how a quake propogates through the ground to build better more quake resistant structures or well planned emergency evacuation routines could potentially save billions of dollars and millions of lives.

    /stoned rant about really cool science.... I am a ***** nerd...
  • novenator, on 11/07/2009, -0/+3LOL, it was a great rant either way.
  • lostlyrics, on 11/07/2009, -0/+1my main objection also would be to the author that he
    seems not particulary eager to quantify his ignorance.
  • Bobski, on 11/07/2009, -0/+1Bad boy, Pointnclicker! Bad submission text! Now go sit in the corner.
  • CIAVT, on 11/07/2009, -2/+1Long story short, it's nearly impossible to predict earthquakes in any reasonable way.
  • graygorey, on 11/07/2009, -1/+0FTA: "On the other hand, it represents some long-term hope for regions like central China, where the faults are slowly fusing—the aftershocks will continue, but the area might well become geologically stable."

    That's either bad reporting or bad science. Show me a "geologically stable" region, and I'll invest every dollar I ever make into purchasing real estate there.

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